SpaceX a borsa: Elon Musk explica a Jamie Dimon el pla per Starlink V3 i la IA orbital
Elon Musk presenta davant Jamie Dimon una SpaceX que busca capital per desplegar Starlink V3, avançar amb Starship i construir centres de dades d’intel·ligència artificial a l’espai.
Elon Musk conversa amb Jamie Dimon a la seu de JPMorgan davant milers d’inversors particulars. La pregunta que articula els primers minuts és directa: per què portar SpaceX a borsa ara, després d’anys funcionant com una empresa privada i, segons Musk, amb flux de caixa positiu des de mitjan dècada passada? La seva resposta transforma una possible sortida a borsa en una història molt més gran: més de 100.000 satèl·lits de comunicacions, Starship plenament reutilitzable, computació d’intel·ligència artificial en òrbita i, a més llarg termini, indústria a la Lluna.
El vídeo recull les declaracions del fundador, però moltes xifres són objectius futurs i no resultats assolits. El prospecte europeu de SpaceX publicat el juny de 2026 permet contrastar alguns punts: prop de 9.600 satèl·lits Starlink a finals de març, més de 700 Tbps de capacitat acumulada i previsió d’iniciar el desplegament de la generació V3 durant la segona meitat de l’any. Això dona context al discurs, sense convertir les projeccions de Musk en garanties.
Per què SpaceX necessita ara capital públic
Musk afirma que les rondes privades recents servien sobretot perquè empleats i inversors obtinguessin liquiditat, no perquè l’empresa necessités finançar les operacions ordinàries. El canvi seria l’escala del nou cicle d’inversió. SpaceX vol multiplicar la capacitat de Starlink, completar Starship i produir una nova família de satèl·lits capaços d’allotjar acceleradors d’IA.
La idea central és que una xarxa pensada inicialment per connectar persones haurà d’atendre també màquines. Musk compara els pocs centenars de bits per segon que pot generar una persona amb el trànsit potencial de robots i ordinadors. La comparació simplifica sistemes molt diferents, però explica la seva tesi: la demanda de dades pot créixer molt més de pressa que el nombre d’usuaris humans.
També diu que els ingressos de SpaceX són ara més previsibles. El vídeo no presenta comptes detallats; per tant, aquesta afirmació s’ha de llegir juntament amb el prospecte, els riscos operatius i la dependència que els programes futurs arribin a temps. Sortir a borsa amplia les fonts de capital, però també sotmetria l’empresa a més transparència i escrutini.
Starlink V3: més capacitat i menys latència
La tercera generació de Starlink és el projecte més concret de la conversa. Musk la descriu com un satèl·lit entre deu i vint vegades més capaç que la generació anterior, amb antenes de matriu en fase més grans, enllaços làser i operació a menor altitud. La pàgina tècnica de Starlink especifica 1 Tbps de baixada, 160 Gbps de pujada i sis làsers de 400 Gbps per unitat. L’empresa calcula que cada llançament amb Starship afegirà unes vint vegades més capacitat que un Falcon 9 carregat amb V2.
En l’entrevista, Musk parla d’uns cinquanta V3 per llançament; el prospecte més recent diu «fins a seixanta». Aquesta diferència és un bon recordatori que el disseny continua evolucionant. També planteja reduir aproximadament a la meitat la latència mitjançant òrbites més baixes. La latència real dependrà, però, de la ruta, les estacions terrestres, la congestió i la disponibilitat de Starship.
Dimon destaca la vulnerabilitat dels cables submarins. Starlink pot aportar redundància en emergències i zones sense infraestructura, però el vídeo exageraria si es llegís com una substitució immediata de tota la fibra oceànica. Les dues xarxes poden complementar-se i tenen costos, capacitats i riscos diferents.
Starship i el salt econòmic de la reutilització
Per a Musk, l’avenç decisiu de Starship no és només la mida: seria convertir-se en el primer coet orbital completament reutilitzable. Falcon 9 ja recupera la primera etapa, però encara no reutilitza tot el sistema. Si tant el propulsor com la nau poguessin tornar a volar sovint, el cost marginal s’acostaria més al combustible, el manteniment i les operacions que no pas a fabricar un vehicle nou cada vegada.
El fundador preveu 100 tones a òrbita amb Starship V3 i més de 200 amb una futura V4, fins i tot amb un llançament per hora com a meta final. Són aspiracions, no una cadència demostrada. La reutilització completa exigeix protecció tèrmica fiable, recuperació segura, inspeccions ràpides i una infraestructura capaç de reposar propel·lent. L’entrevista explica bé per què el concepte canviaria l’economia espacial, però no quantifica els passos pendents.
Aquesta capacitat és imprescindible per als V3: Musk diu que són massa grans per a qualsevol altre coet disponible. Starlink i Starship queden així units. La xarxa genera ingressos que financen el llançador, mentre que el llançador permet ampliar la xarxa amb satèl·lits més potents.
Centres de dades d’IA a l’espai
La proposta més ambiciosa és desplegar computació orbital alimentada directament pel Sol. Musk sosté que construir noves centrals a la Terra és lent i socialment difícil, mentre que a l’espai l’energia solar és abundant. SpaceX descriu oficialment un satèl·lit «Starmind» amb computació local, radiadors i làsers que enviarien els resultats a la constel·lació Starlink, amb producció de milers d’unitats a partir de finals de 2027 com a objectiu.
L’entrevista diu que el maquinari podria acceptar GPU de Nvidia, TPU de Google, acceleradors d’Amazon o futurs xips propis, i també programari d’altres empreses. Aquesta obertura reduiria la dependència d’un únic proveïdor. Tanmateix, la radiació, les reparacions, la vida útil, les comunicacions i la dissipació de calor continuen sent reptes. L’espai és fred, però un objecte al buit no elimina calor per convecció: necessita radiadors.
Musk amplia després l’horitzó fins a la Lluna. Amb una gravetat sis vegades menor i sense atmosfera, imagina acceleradors electromagnètics per enviar equips cap a l’espai profund i fabricar plaques solars amb materials lunars. És la part més especulativa del relat i queda molt lluny d’un pla industrial finançable avui.
El «Terafab» i el coll d’ampolla dels xips
Dimon pregunta per què Musk vol entrar també en la fabricació de semiconductors. La resposta és que la lògica, la memòria i l’encapsulat poden limitar qualsevol expansió de la IA. Musk esmenta noves fàbriques de Micron a Idaho i Nova York, però considera que ni les previsions optimistes cobriran tota la demanda.
Les dades oficials de Micron confirmen una expansió enorme als Estats Units: primera producció d’oblies a Idaho prevista per a mitjan 2027, una segona fàbrica cap a finals de 2028 i construcció ja iniciada a Nova York. Això sosté el diagnòstic d’escassetat estratègica, però no prova que una fàbrica pròpia de SpaceX sigui automàticament competitiva. Fabricar memòria i lògica avançada requereix dècades de coneixement, equipament especialitzat i una cadena de proveïment global.
El «Terafab» encaixa amb la integració vertical que Musk ja ha aplicat a Tesla i SpaceX: controlar el component que frena el sistema. El risc és dispersar capital i talent entre massa fronts alhora.
Lideratge, missió i què cal retenir
La part final abandona les especificacions. Musk atribueix la permanència de directius com Gwynne Shotwell a una missió compartida: convertir la humanitat en una civilització espacial. També diu haver après que la capacitat intel·lectual no és suficient per contractar algú; importa que sigui una bona persona. Es defineix com més tranquil que fa vint anys, encara que admet errors i molt per aprendre.
El resum de l’entrevista no és que SpaceX necessiti diners per construir més coets, sinó que vol convertir el transport orbital en la infraestructura d’una economia de comunicacions, energia i computació. Starlink V3 és la peça més verificable; Starship és la condició tècnica; els centres de dades orbitals són l’aposta emergent; i la indústria lunar continua sent visió a molt llarg termini. Per a qualsevol lector o inversor, la distinció important és aquesta: el vídeo mostra una arquitectura coherent, però la coherència del relat no substitueix l’execució, els costos ni els riscos descrits als documents de l’empresa.
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Brighter with Herbert JUST RECORDED: Elon Musk Interviewed by JP Morgan's Jamie Dimon
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Starlink Starlink Version 3 Satellites
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SpaceX Starmind: AI Satellite
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Elon, welcome to JP Morgan's headquarters. You're on the 51st floor, which is about the equivalent of the nowhere near where you go generally in space, but as high as we can get in New York City. But before we get started with you and Jamie, we had a very special guest that wanted to welcome you here this afternoon. And and so your mother, Maye Musk, is here to welcome you. Right. Maye, please stand up. I don't think you can see me or everybody here. They can see you. Yes, they can. This is your party. I I can't actually can't see my mom, but I can hear her, so maybe now there you are. Okay. What I'd like to say is when you were 3 years old and I told people I have a genius son, they would roll their eyes. And then Sure, understandable, frankly. I'm used I'm used. And then when you said you wanted to start with rockets, then I rolled my eyes. Sure. And then you did it. And so this is just a great party here and we're celebrating. Sounds good. Love you love you so much. Love you, too. One proud mama. Please. So let me Elon welcome you. It's a really privilege to have you here on this momentous occasion. It is new for us, but it's an important thing, the trajectory of American innovation. We're here live, 3,500 people of our top individual investors around the world.
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1:25
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In 100 branches, there are 350 people here. 3,500 around the country. This is a very unique thing, by the way, because Elon has spoken to me about democratizing finance. This is part of it, treating individual investors the same way institutions are treated and hedge funds and all those things. My view is it's a wonderful thing to do. Elon, very brave, by the way, cuz I would never let my mother speak publicly when I was in the room. God knows what she would have said. I had no idea she was there, actually. Elon is the Edison of our time. I remember visiting Elon in Tesla like 15 years ago. A whole new way of building cars, vertical integration, which had not been anything remote what our car companies are doing. Now you have SpaceX. I visited the SpaceX factory in California and it's exceptional to have more than 650 rockets and you told me one today putting satellites in space. You have 9,000 almost 10,000 Starlink Starlink satellites up there. Starlink 3 is coming which is all new generation which hopefully will replace some of these undersea cables. It's been an extraordinary 24 years with watching Elon grow over time. And now you're making a massive leap into the into the future. So, welcome and coming here. Elon, I have 10 questions for you. So, I want to make sure I get to each one. Some of them came from folks here. Uh they're all important, but one just to start is why SpaceX public now? Cuz you had
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2:50
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choices, you didn't have to. Why now? Yeah, I've been asked for many years about taking SpaceX public. So, it's probably been I don't know. Almost 10 years that people have been been uh suggesting to me that I should take SpaceX public. We've been positive cash flow for quite a long time. I think since around 2014-2015. And we've been self-funding. In fact, in our private equity rounds, so they they actually have not been fundraising rounds. They've been liquidity rounds for investors and and employees because we give everyone at the company stock. And SpaceX is actually bought back stock in most of our sort of funding events. So, what's different about now is that it's a number of things, but we are embarking on a significant growth phase like capital growth phase where we're where our going to put in orbit probably 100,000 satellites. Probably over 100,000 satellites just for communications. And these will be the version 3 and beyond versus version 2 and version 1 that are currently in in orbit. Version three is depending on how you count it 10 to 20 times more capable than the version two satellite. And there were three chips that the SpaceX chip design team taped out that are specific to this that are far beyond state of the art. Which means it's it's a 100 times more bandwidth than the SpaceX Starlink system currently offers. And also half the latency because the
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4:14
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altitude will be about half the altitude. I think it will actually be the highest bandwidth, lowest latency means of communicating. And the future with AI and robots is actually going to require a lot more bandwidth than we currently use. Cuz you can imagine what's the bandwidth of a human? It's peak bandwidth of a human is a few hundred bits per second, but but bandwidth of a computer can be a trillion bits a second. So the appetite for bandwidth of AI compute AI and robots is going to be enormous. And then we're also doing the AI data centers in space, which is an another massive capital endeavor. But I think it'll be the primary means of by which AI can be expanded. It's increasingly difficult to build uh power plants on the ground. There are very few people who want a power plant in their backyard. So if you wanted to say double the electricity usage of the United States, which is on average about 500 gigawatts, we would have to build about twice as many power plants, which I don't think people are most communities are not super excited about that. But actually if we go to space, we can go far beyond the electricity generation of Earth. In fact, this is going to sound crazy, but you could actually increase harness energy by a factor of a million and still be using much less than a millionth of the sun's energy.
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5:38
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So current human civilization uses much less than a trillionth of the sun's energy output. It's just humbling to think about. We're really a tiny When you see the true size of Earth relative to the Sun, we're a tiny dust mote in a vast darkness. And the Sun is enormous. The Sun is 99.8% of all mass in the solar system, and most of the remaining 0.2% is Jupiter. Sometimes people ask me I'm sorry maybe going a little wide ranging in this answer, but cuz they just asked me why you're going public now. And I'm like I'm like they're talking about the Sun's power output and I'm like I got a little long-winded answer here. If I was an AI you might tell me to you know start Okay, but also But it is important Some of these things are important because people start to wonder what's the future of energy generation. And the I could say that it is absolutely solar power. Or maybe a better word for solar power is star power. It's the power of a star. And the crazy thing is that if you burnt all mass in the solar system that was not the Sun, the amount of energy produced by the Sun would still around up to 100%. Cuz the Sun is 99.8% of the mass of the solar system. Even if you teleported two more Jupiters from another somehow teleported two more Jupiters from another solar system and burnt them too, the Sun would round up to 100%. It's so it's very much the Sun. And you can you can you can scale to a million times Earth's economy in space in terms of
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7:04
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harness power, which is a good proxy for economic output, and still be much less than a millionth of the Sun's energy, which is humbling really to think about how tiny we are. And this is just one star among many. So, I guess the the TL it would be we're embarking on a massive new growth phase and we need capital for that. Okay. Okay, number two. And another thing is the revenue like I I also feel pretty good about like the revenue projections. But like before like the revenue was a little unstable, but now I feel like the revenue is like much more predictable. Yeah. Yeah, I learned I always learn listening to you, I guarantee you. So I mean, you people hear about multi-planetary species, travel to space, one of the most exciting ideas in human history. Can you explain the bridge that you were you speak about I've heard you talk about from the Earth to the Moon to Mars? Yeah. Yeah, so you don't necessarily have to go through the moon to get to Mars. I just think that we can build a self-growing city on the moon faster than we could do so on Mars. And and there's also the potential if you say you want to scale far beyond what you can do from Earth is that because the moon has no atmosphere and about 1/6 Earth's gravity, you can use an electromagnetic accelerator or a railgun or or mass driver. You basically
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8:28
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don't need to use rockets to s- to s- to do AI data centers into deep space from the moon. You can literally just shoot them like a railgun type of thing. And you can manufacture the solar the solar and the radiators solar power and radiators on the moon from moon materials. That would allow scaling potentially to beyond 1,000 terawatts a year. W- which is a truly staggering number. Like I think we can do 1,000 I think we can do probably somewhere around 1 terawatt per year of AI space compute from Earth, but we can do 1,000 terawatts or more from the moon. And like I said, we can also make a moon base. And I think it'd be pretty pretty cool if you could vacation on the moon. Yeah, that would have been the most epic vacation. Not everybody wants to go to the moon, but I think a lot of people do. I think it'd be pretty pretty amazing to to obviously provided you could do so safely and and come back safely and everything. But I think we can I think that will be possible in the future. And then Mars is another step beyond that. That's Mars is a whole planet and with gravity much closer to that of Earth's and it has a an atmosphere albeit it's an atmosphere. And if you warm up Mars, you could one day make Mars like Earth meaning with liquid oceans and life and where you could walk outside without a spacesuit type of thing. So, Mars is it I call Mars a fixer-upper of a planet, but it's it's got a lot of potential. Let me Let me go to number three, but I never ever thought you'd be in the hospitality business. Yeah.
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Absolutely. What We should have moon hotels, don't you think? With Yeah. Musk hotels, like It could be Actually, you I think of us more like we're kind of like the Union Pacific. I mean, when they built the Union Pacific back in the day, people thought they were crazy because like why are you trying to carry all this all this cargo and people to California? No one's there. But now California is the biggest state in the country. Well, probably not for long, but yeah. Yeah, I know. Admittedly, it's self-defeating. Yes. So, with Starship, you built it, an unbelievable ship. I think it's already had 12 flights, I read. But obviously technical technically it's just hard to do. What are What are some of the breakthroughs you have that people should know about that they don't know about? We We Our webcasts are pretty good. So, I recommend anyone who wants If they want to learn about Starship, the SpaceX website or the any of the Starship livecasts are a great way to learn about it. But the really the fundamental breakthrough of Starship is that it will be the first orbital rocket that is fully reusable. So, this might sound like an obvious thing, but because in every other mode of transport, whether that's aircraft, you know, cars, bicycles, horses, you name it, and it ships, these are all We take it for granted that they are reusable. An aircraft journey would be very expensive if you had to throw the plane away every time. And that's how rockets have been in the past. But it's very difficult from a technology standpoint to achieve full reusability
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11:17
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for a rocket. We've got part of the way there with Falcon 9, but we'll get all the way there with Starship. And once you achieve full reusability, then it's simply a cost it's simply the the cost of access to to orbit is just the the of propellant because now you can reuse all aspects of the vehicle. And the propellant we used for Starship is liquid oxygen and liquid liquid methane, which is the cheapest propellant you could possibly get. We can just literally get oxygen from the air and methane from natural gas. So, the cost of propellant for Starship will be less than the cost of jet aviation fuel. Which means that you should be able to actually send cargo to space for less than the cost of cargo on an airplane going on a transoceanic trip. Very good. Starlink, another thing that has been amazing global communications. We already mentioned Ukraine. But you had mentioned to me that V3 would maybe be able to replace some of these cyber cables, which by the way is a huge security risk for all of us, because several have already been cut in the Baltic Sea. So, what's the next view for Starlink, both V3 and maybe V4? Yeah, so the V3 satellite is a giant and you can look it up on the internet. As I said, it's 10 to 20 times more capable than V2. It's a very big satellite. In fact, it can only be launched on Starship. It's
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12:41
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so it's too big to be launched on any other rocket on Earth. So, Starship has a 30-ft diameter cargo bay. And the the V3 satellites are, let's see, they're about 7 m, so about 20 22 to 23 ft wide. So, very big. They're like the size of a small bus, essentially. And they There's a bunch of technical details about We have much bigger phased array antennas. We've got We've got more new ground links. We've got more of our laser Our satellites communicate with each other with lasers that we developed and manufacture. So, it's got a lot more lasers and more advanced lasers. It's also got W-band and E-band. These are technical details, but it's it's It's a lot of It's trans- It's It's like a crazy orbiting radio station. Okay, and it Does the Starship do 12 of them or 15 at once? It should be able to do 50. 50? Yeah. Because the Starship is Starship V3 is aimed at aiming to do 100 tons to orbit with full reusability. And then Starship V4 we're aiming for over 200 tons per mission. And then being able to launch every hour. Next one is data centers in space. You've been talking about that. Other people have mentioned it, but obviously it has different technical capabilities. It's colder up there. There's less vibration. But you also got to get the
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14:05
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data back to the Earth by some method. I think you mentioned maybe lasers in good weather and bad. And so how hard is it to do now that you've looked at it for a while? We don't think this is a particularly difficult thing to do. In fact, we think it's easier than our communication satellites. Quite a bit easier than our communication satellites. The Starlink V3 communication satellite is an incredibly complex machine. The AI data center would be much simpler by comparison. Because it's really just solar power plus radiator and some basic equipment for operating the satellite and and then the laser links which would connect to the Starlink communications constellation and then back and then to the ground. And it would the connection would happen no matter what the weather is because once you connect via lasers to the Starlink communication constellation the Starlink communication to ground with frequencies that are cloud penetrating. So they in fact even roof penetrating some degree. So you you would always be able to close the link with the data data centers. Excellent. Talking about America, one of the big things here we've been talking about the re-industrialization of America for a long time. Bringing back advanced manufacturing. And now you're talking about building of the Terafab, building chip fabs in New York. Which which What compelled you to do that now with all the other things you're working on. We We try to So, what's the limiting factor? And the limiting factor what we see as a limiting factor is
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being able to make chips, both logic, memory, and packaging. It's worth noting that there's not a single high-volume computer memory fab in America right now. Zero. There's one being built in Idaho by Micron, but that will not reach volume production till I believe 2028. And there's something built in New York, but they are in I think '29 and '30. And this is a tiny fraction of the memory that's needed. And in fact, even if you take the best-case assumptions of the the memory makers and the logic makers, it is not enough to meet the demand that is anticipated. Which is why you're seeing stocks of Micron go to, I think, 1.2 trillion or some quite high number. The So, there's just clearly a need for AI logic, memory, and packaging, the AI computers, essentially, that is far beyond what even the best-case assumptions of the existing fabricators can do. And that's why we need to do the terrafab. Yeah, it seems like essential, otherwise we will not There will not be enough chips. Okay. So, I'm going to do one more on some of the stuff you're building and then a little bit more on other issues. AI strategy, you've also bought took a crack inside into SpaceX. How does that fit into this platform you're building? Uh yeah, there's it You know, so we do intend with our SpaceX AI satellites to allow people to
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put whatever GPU or TPU they want. So, if Nvidia GPUs can be put on it, Google TPUs can be put on it, Amazon Traniums, or any other chips that people want to put on can be put on. We will also offer our chips in the future. And I think we also want to offer our software, our AI software, as well in the future. But But it it will be such that you can run anyone's AI on hardware or software on the the Tesla AI satellite or SpaceX AI satellites. Yeah. So, the next three are completely different. I'm going to mention each one I'll each ask you each one, but one's about his view of patriotism and service to this country. One's about culture and bench, how do you actually build these wonderful companies cuz a lot of people here have that those issues. And then kind of leadership about I have a very specific question about that. But first I'll start with patriotism. You've served this country, I know you're a patriot. We've spoken about it. How do you view your role of being an American patriot helping of the United States? Yeah, I'm incredibly pro-American. So, and I can always have been. So, yeah, so SpaceX does do a lot of work for the what used to be called the Department of Defense or Department of War these days. The We have a division called Starshield which provides military communications and and this and other stuff that's kind
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of cosmetic. Can't be talked can't talk about that, but we are helping the Department of War and Intel part of the government vital element of that. So, yeah, I'm yeah, super pro-America. Always have been. Thank you. Culture and bench, Bret, we've been with you for 15, 20 years. I know you've built a huge bench in SpaceX. How do you keep it going? What's important to you? How do you make sure you keep the best talent? Yeah, Gwynne was I think around the seventh person to join the company and that was 2002. Uh it's just seems like 24 years. And general generally the senior executives at the company have a very long tenure. I think Bret Johnson's been CFO for 15 years. And yeah, like we I think because people really believe in the mission, I think they want to stay and they want to keep building it like we want to make humanity a space bearing civilization. We want to take humanity to Mars and the moon and ultimately beyond. We want to make it's like science fiction make it real. Go to places that have never been explored before. Make Star Trek real. That was one of my favorite shows. Yeah. Excellent. And then last one, you've built multiple companies. How have you changed from maybe 20 years ago? I should maybe I should ask you guys. Have you changed from like when you started to today? Lessons you've learned, how
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19:44
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you've changed both as a leader and as a person. I think I'm probably more chill than I used to be. So I was probably a little I'm way more laid back than I used to be. Which I'm still not that laid back but more than I used to be for sure. And one of the things I found over time and mentioned this before is that in terms of recruiting people to the company or having people work at the company, their individual abilities and their intellectual capabilities matter a lot but it also also matters if they have a good heart. It's like it's not just about whether somebody has certain IQ or whatever but just are they a good person? That matters a lot. I think I don't know I guess I've learned a lot. Although I feel like I still have a lot to learn and make a lot of mistakes. But I think maybe the future AI will say not bad for a human. Listen, now before we thank Elon for coming, I just want to thank him for just watching him build companies and I can't wait to watch the next 10 or 15 years about what you accomplish and what you dream of and you're getting to Mars and building new businesses and being creative. So Elon, I want to thank you on behalf of everybody for coming here, sharing your ideas. There are brochures out there about the whole SpaceX thing. But Elon, thank you. Thank you. Thanks for having me. I will say that we are exactly one month away from the 4th of July.